Egypt Daily News – The recent swing state polling shows a complex and competitive landscape as the election approaches. Here’s a breakdown of the key points from the polling data:
Arizona
- Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by 5 points (51% to 46%). This margin is consistent with previous polling results.
Pennsylvania
- Kamala Harris has a narrow lead of 4 points (50% to 47%) according to recent polling from The New York Times and Quinnipiac. However, a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump with a slight advantage (46% to 45%).
Michigan
- In the latest Wall Street Journal poll, Harris leads by 2 points (47% to 45%). This contrasts with a previous Quinnipiac poll where Trump was ahead by 3 points. The FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Harris slightly ahead by 0.8 points.
Wisconsin
- The situation is tight with Harris pulling ahead by 1 point in the Wall Street Journal poll, while Trump leads by 2 points in the Quinnipiac poll. The Emerson poll shows a tie at 49%. FiveThirtyEight has Harris up by 0.6 points.
Georgia
- Harris has a narrow lead of 1 point in the Wall Street Journal poll (46% to 45%), but Trump holds a 1-point lead in the Emerson poll (49% to 48%).
Nevada
- Polls are mixed: the Wall Street Journal shows Trump up by 5 points, while Emerson has Harris leading by 1 point (48% to 47%). Harris is ahead by 0.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.
North Carolina
- Trump currently leads by 1 point (46% to 45%) according to the Wall Street Journal, which is a switch from Harris’s previous lead in Emerson’s polling.
National Averages
- Kamala Harris is ahead by 2 points in the Real Clear Politics national polling average and by 2.5 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.
Key Context
Harris’s rise to the top of the ticket follows the withdrawal of President Joe Biden, which has shifted the dynamics of the race significantly. Previously, many polls indicated that Trump would outperform Biden in crucial battleground states despite Biden’s success in the 2020 election.
Overall, the polling indicates a highly competitive election landscape with slight variations in both directions across different states, highlighting the importance of continued campaigning and outreach in the coming weeks.
