Egypt Daily News – In a significant move following Egypt’s military support to Somalia, Ethiopia opted to close the gates of the GERD, effectively stopping water flow to both Egypt and Sudan while continuing the dam’s fifth filling phase unilaterally.
This decision indicates Ethiopia’s determination to assert control over the dam, which has been a contentious issue between the three nations for years.
The fifth filling began on July 17, and just days after Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed announced the operational flow of the dam, the abrupt closure of the gates raises concerns about Ethiopia’s intentions and strategy.
Egyptian water expert Abbas Sharaki suggested that the recent moves could stem from technical needs or a political reaction to Egypt’s military presence in Somalia.
He noted that the water level at the GERD had reached approximately 637 meters, which supports continued filling without releasing water downstream. This action could exacerbate existing tensions, as Egypt relies heavily on the Nile for freshwater and has long objected to Ethiopia’s unilateral management of the GERD.
The situation further escalates with Ethiopia’s appointment of an ambassador to the unrecognized Somaliland region, a decision perceived as provocative in light of Egypt’s increasing military footprint in Somalia.
Somaliland’s government responded to Egypt’s actions, criticizing the military deployment as destabilizing for the region, reflecting a shared concern among these nations about potential military escalation in a sensitive area.
The backdrop to this crisis includes historical grievances and distrust among the countries involved. Egypt and Sudan have repeatedly called for a legally binding agreement governing the filling and operation of the GERD, but Ethiopia has resisted, insisting on its sovereign right to manage the dam.
Moreover, Egypt’s signing of a mutual defense agreement with Somalia and military cooperation protocols underscores a growing alliance that potentially aims to counteract Ethiopia’s unilateral actions.
As Ethiopia continues to pursue its objectives, including ambitions for naval capabilities on the Red Sea, the friction in the region could lead to wider implications for security and diplomacy in East Africa.
In summary, the escalating tensions among Ethiopia, Egypt, and Somalia over the GERD and military actions underline the fragile state of regional relations and the urgent need for dialogue and constructive engagement to address the underlying issues and avoid further conflict.
